Medical experts say that Ontario is in the peak period of the curve for community transmission of COVID-19.

Officials say that suggests enhanced public health measures of physical distancing, staying at home, and handwashing is working to slow the spread of the virus. They did warn that the peak period can be long in length and will include some dips and bumps as we progress to flattening the curve.

The data modelling numbers also show that we will see 20,000 cases in Ontario, which is down from the 80,000 cases predicted earlier this month for the end of this month.  That means the province is trending to a best-case scenario instead of the worst case.

Hospitalization from the virus has also slowed but the number of patients in ICU continues to remain constant in the past week.

However, outbreaks in long-term care homes and other congregate living spaces including shelters continue to be a concern with cases and deaths from COVID-19 rising daily.  There are 127 outbreaks across Ontario in congregate living spaces.

Last week the province announced a new action plan for long-term care homes to help control the spread of the virus.  Those measures include enhancing and expanding testing for symptomatic and asymptomatic contacts of confirmed cases; providing public health and infection control expertise; and redeploying staff from hospitals and home and community care to support the long-term care home workforce.

There were no clear numbers of an anticipated death toll because of the accelerating of the curve in long-term care homes.  It was also explained that deaths will follow new cases because of the stages of incubation and length of illness of COVID-19.

Dr. Barbara Yaffe, Ontario’s Associate Medical Officer of Health warned that all Ontarians must continue to be vigilant with physical distancing, hand hygiene and staying at home and only going out for essentials in order to prevent further spread.  She thanked Ontarians for following public health measures and said, “they are working.”